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Inference vs. Prediction — What's the Difference?

By Tayyaba Rehman — Updated on October 27, 2023
Inference is a logical conclusion drawn from available data, while prediction is a forecast or anticipation of a future event based on data or trends.
Inference vs. Prediction — What's the Difference?

Difference Between Inference and Prediction

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Key Differences

Inference involves deriving a logical conclusion from existing information or evidence, often based on reasoning. Prediction, however, is the act of forecasting or anticipating what will happen in the future, typically based on past or current data.
Inference is an analytical process, focusing on understanding and interpreting information. Prediction focuses on projecting outcomes or events into the future, often based on patterns observed in the data.
Inferences are usually based on observed facts and logical reasoning. Predictions often involve a degree of speculation, relying on patterns, trends, or models to anticipate future events.
Inferences help in understanding and explaining phenomena, situations, or behaviors. Predictions are more about anticipating and preparing for future events or trends.
While both inference and prediction are based on information, inference is more about making sense of what is or has been, whereas prediction is about anticipating what could be.
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Comparison Chart

Definition

Logical conclusion from available data
Forecast or anticipation of future events

Focus

Understanding and interpreting
Anticipating and forecasting

Basis

Observed facts and logical reasoning
Patterns, trends, or models

Purpose

To explain or understand phenomena
To anticipate or prepare for future

Nature

Analytical and interpretative
Speculative and anticipatory

Compare with Definitions

Inference

The act of drawing a logical conclusion from premises known or assumed to be true.
His inference was that the company would go bankrupt soon.

Prediction

A statement about what will happen in the future, often based on experience or knowledge.
His prediction that it would rain turned out to be correct.

Inference

A conclusion reached based on evidence and reasoning.
From the clues, she made an inference that the butler was innocent.

Prediction

The act of forecasting future events based on current or past data.
The economist's prediction about the market crash was accurate.

Inference

An educated guess or interpretation based on observations.
The teacher's inference about the student's progress was accurate.

Prediction

A guess or estimation about a future event, situation, or trend.
The weather prediction for the weekend is sunny and warm.

Inference

Inferences are steps in reasoning, moving from premises to logical consequences; etymologically, the word infer means to "carry forward". Inference is theoretically traditionally divided into deduction and induction, a distinction that in Europe dates at least to Aristotle (300s BCE).

Prediction

A prediction (Latin præ-, "before," and dicere, "to say"), or forecast, is a statement about a future event. They are often, but not always, based upon experience or knowledge.

Inference

A conclusion reached on the basis of evidence and reasoning
It seemed a fair inference that such books would be grouped together
Researchers are entrusted with drawing inferences from the data

Prediction

The act of predicting.

Inference

The act or process of deriving logical conclusions from premises known or assumed to be true.

Prediction

Something foretold or predicted; a prophecy.

Inference

The act of reasoning from factual knowledge or evidence.

Prediction

A statement of what will happen in the future.

Inference

Something inferred.

Prediction

(statistics) A probability estimation based on statistical methods.

Inference

Usage Problem A hint or suggestion
The editorial contained an inference of foul play in the awarding of the contract. See Usage Note at infer.

Prediction

The act of foretelling; also, that which is foretold; prophecy.
The predictions of cold and long winters.

Inference

(uncountable) The act or process of inferring by deduction or induction.

Prediction

The act of predicting (as by reasoning about the future)

Inference

(countable) That which is inferred; a truth or proposition drawn from another which is admitted or supposed to be true; a conclusion; a deduction.

Prediction

A statement made about the future

Inference

The act or process of inferring by deduction or induction.
Though it may chance to be right in the conclusions, it is yet unjust and mistaken in the method of inference.

Prediction

An expectation or projection about a future occurrence.
Her prediction about the election results was spot on.

Inference

That which inferred; a truth or proposition drawn from another which is admitted or supposed to be true; a conclusion; a deduction.
These inferences, or conclusions, are the effects of reasoning, and the three propositions, taken all together, are called syllogism, or argument.

Prediction

The act of making a forecast about what will happen.
The scientist's prediction about the comet's path was precise.

Inference

The reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion or making a logical judgment on the basis of circumstantial evidence and prior conclusions rather than on the basis of direct observation

Inference

The process of deriving logical conclusions from premises known or assumed.
The detective's inference led him to the correct suspect.

Inference

An understanding or opinion formed from evidence and reasoning.
Her inference from the data was that the treatment was effective.

Common Curiosities

What is the main difference between inference and prediction?

Inference is about drawing conclusions from current data, while prediction is about forecasting future events.

Is prediction always about the future?

Yes, prediction is inherently about anticipating future events or outcomes.

Can inference be based on incomplete data?

Yes, inferences can be made from incomplete data but may be less certain.

Is inference a part of the scientific method?

Yes, inference is a key part of the scientific method, used in analyzing data and drawing conclusions.

Is inference always logical?

Inference ideally should be logical, but it can be flawed if based on incorrect assumptions or biases.

Can inference be about the future?

Inference typically focuses on the present or past, but it can indirectly inform expectations about the future.

Do predictions always come true?

No, predictions are speculative and can be incorrect.

What role do inferences play in problem-solving?

Inferences help in understanding problems and forming hypotheses, crucial in problem-solving.

Can technology improve predictions?

Yes, technology, especially data analysis and machine learning, can improve the accuracy of predictions.

Can predictions be based on intuition?

Predictions can be based on intuition, but they're often more reliable when based on data and trends.

Can a prediction influence behavior?

Yes, predictions can influence behavior, especially if people act to avoid or ensure a predicted outcome.

Do inferences require evidence?

Yes, inferences should ideally be based on evidence, though the amount and quality can vary.

How do predictions help in planning?

Predictions help in planning by providing a forecast of future conditions or events.

Are inferences subjective?

Inferences can be subjective, depending on the interpreter's perspective and understanding.

Is it possible to make predictions without data?

While possible, predictions without data are generally less reliable and more speculative.

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Author Spotlight

Written by
Tayyaba Rehman
Tayyaba Rehman is a distinguished writer, currently serving as a primary contributor to askdifference.com. As a researcher in semantics and etymology, Tayyaba's passion for the complexity of languages and their distinctions has found a perfect home on the platform. Tayyaba delves into the intricacies of language, distinguishing between commonly confused words and phrases, thereby providing clarity for readers worldwide.

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