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Conjecture vs. Speculate — What's the Difference?

Edited by Tayyaba Rehman — By Maham Liaqat — Updated on April 24, 2024
Conjecture involves forming an opinion based on incomplete information, while speculate entails theorizing without firm evidence.
Conjecture vs. Speculate — What's the Difference?

Difference Between Conjecture and Speculate

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Key Differences

Conjecture is often used in formal or academic contexts, implying a certain level of educated guesswork based on available but incomplete evidence. On the other hand, speculate is commonly used in both everyday and financial contexts, suggesting consideration of possibilities based on conjecture or incomplete information.
Conjecture may result in a hypothesis in scientific or scholarly work, which is then subjected to further testing and analysis. Whereas speculation can lead to investment decisions in finance, often based on predictions about market behavior which may not necessarily be backed by direct evidence.
Conjecture is typically more reserved and cautious in nature, reflecting a thoughtful but unverified conclusion. Speculate, however, often carries a riskier connotation, especially in financial terms, where it implies the potential for substantial gains or losses.
In literature or informal discussion, conjecture allows for broad interpretation of texts or events based on partial insights. Conversely, to speculate in similar contexts might involve imagining scenarios or outcomes that extend beyond the current understanding or facts.
In the realm of mathematics or logic, conjectures are well-defined propositions that are believed to be true but remain unproven until demonstrated rigorously. In contrast, speculation in theoretical sciences often leads to forming new theories or models that need empirical support to validate their feasibility.
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Comparison Chart

Definition

Forming an opinion based on incomplete information
Theorizing without firm evidence

Usage Context

More formal, academic
Everyday, financial, broader

Implication

Cautious, involves educated guesswork
Often riskier, involves considerations of potential outcomes

Common Applications

Scientific hypothesis, literary analysis
Financial investments, theoretical sciences

Connotation

Reserved, thoughtful
Risk-taking, forward-thinking

Compare with Definitions

Conjecture

The act of forming conclusions from incomplete evidence.
The historian’s conjecture offered a new perspective on the event.

Speculate

To engage in a financial transaction with substantial risk of loss for potential large gains.
He speculated in foreign currency markets.

Conjecture

A statement or opinion based on incomplete information.
His conjecture about the unknown poem’s author sparked a lively debate.

Speculate

To hypothesize or theorize in the realm of science or philosophy.
Philosophers speculate about human nature.

Conjecture

An assumption used to guide investigation.
His initial conjecture led to a breakthrough in the research.

Speculate

To form a theory or hypothesize about something without sufficient evidence.
Investors speculate about the next big tech breakthrough.

Conjecture

A hypothesis formulated as part of scientific research.
The scientist's conjecture was later confirmed through experiments.

Speculate

To consider or ponder possibilities.
She speculated about the possible outcomes of the decision.

Conjecture

A guess or inference without firm evidence.
Based on the fragments found, her conjecture was that the pottery was ancient.

Speculate

To make predictions based on intuition or minimal evidence.
The analyst speculated that the company would go bankrupt.

Conjecture

In mathematics, a conjecture is a conclusion or a proposition which is suspected to be true due to preliminary supporting evidence, but for which no proof or disproof has yet been found. Some conjectures, such as the Riemann hypothesis (still a conjecture) or Fermat's Last Theorem (a conjecture until proven in 1995 by Andrew Wiles), have shaped much of mathematical history as new areas of mathematics are developed in order to prove them.

Speculate

To engage in a course of reasoning often based on inconclusive evidence; conjecture or theorize.

Conjecture

An opinion or conclusion formed on the basis of incomplete information
Conjectures about the newcomer were many and varied
A matter for conjecture

Speculate

To engage in the buying or selling of a commodity with an element of risk on the chance of profit.

Conjecture

Form an opinion or supposition about (something) on the basis of incomplete information
Many conjectured that the jury could not agree

Speculate

To assume to be true without conclusive evidence
Speculated that high cholesterol was a contributing factor to the patient's health problems.

Conjecture

Opinion or judgment based on inconclusive or incomplete evidence; guesswork.

Speculate

To think, meditate or reflect on a subject; to consider, to deliberate or cogitate.

Conjecture

An opinion or conclusion based on guesswork
The commentators made various conjectures about the outcome of the next election.

Speculate

(intransitive) To make an inference based on inconclusive evidence; to surmise or conjecture.

Conjecture

To judge or conclude by conjecture; guess
"From the comparative silence below ... I conjectured that Mr Rochester was now at liberty" (Charlotte Brontë).

Speculate

To make a risky trade in the hope of making a profit; to venture or gamble.

Conjecture

To make a conjecture.

Speculate

To anticipate which branch of code will be chosen and execute it in advance.

Conjecture

(formal) A statement or an idea which is unproven, but is thought to be true; a guess.
I explained it, but it is pure conjecture whether he understood, or not.

Speculate

To consider by turning a subject in the mind, and viewing it in its different aspects and relations; to meditate; to contemplate; to theorize; as, to speculate on questions in religion; to speculate on political events.
It is remarkable that persons who speculate the most boldly often conform with the most pefect quietude to the external regulations of society.

Conjecture

(formal) A supposition based upon incomplete evidence; a hypothesis.
The physicist used his conjecture about subatomic particles to design an experiment.

Speculate

To view subjects from certain premises given or assumed, and infer conclusions respecting them a priori.

Conjecture

A statement likely to be true based on available evidence, but which has not been formally proven.

Speculate

To purchase with the expectation of a contingent advance in value, and a consequent sale at a profit; - often, in a somewhat depreciative sense, of unsound or hazardous transactions; as, to speculate in coffee, in sugar, or in bank stock.

Conjecture

(obsolete) Interpretation of signs and omens.

Speculate

To consider attentively; as, to speculate the nature of a thing.

Conjecture

To guess; to venture an unproven idea.
I do not know if it is true; I am simply conjecturing here.

Speculate

To believe especially on uncertain or tentative grounds;
Scientists supposed that large dinosaurs lived in swamps

Conjecture

(transitive) To infer on slight evidence; to guess at.

Speculate

Talk over conjecturally, or review in an idle or casual way and with an element of doubt or without sufficient reason to reach a conclusion;
We were speculating whether the President had to resign after the scandal

Conjecture

An opinion, or judgment, formed on defective or presumptive evidence; probable inference; surmise; guess; suspicion.
He [Herodotus] would thus have corrected his first loose conjecture by a real study of nature.
Conjectures, fancies, built on nothing firm.

Speculate

Reflect deeply on a subject;
I mulled over the events of the afternoon
Philosophers have speculated on the question of God for thousands of years
The scientist must stop to observe and start to excogitate

Conjecture

To arrive at by conjecture; to infer on slight evidence; to surmise; to guess; to form, at random, opinions concerning.
Human reason can then, at the best, but conjecture what will be.

Speculate

Invest at a risk;
I bought this house not because I want to live in it but to sell it later at a good price, so I am speculating

Conjecture

To make conjectures; to surmise; to guess; to infer; to form an opinion; to imagine.

Conjecture

A hypothesis that has been formed by speculating or conjecturing (usually with little hard evidence);
Speculations about the outcome of the election
He dismissed it as mere conjecture

Conjecture

A message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence

Conjecture

Reasoning that involves the formation of conclusions from incomplete evidence

Conjecture

To believe especially on uncertain or tentative grounds;
Scientists supposed that large dinosaurs lived in swamps

Common Curiosities

How do conjecture and speculation differ in daily usage?

Conjecture is often about making educated guesses, while speculation usually involves a greater element of risk and prediction.

What does it mean to conjecture in a scientific context?

In science, conjecture is the formulation of hypotheses based on incomplete evidence, awaiting further empirical validation.

What risks are associated with speculation?

Speculation carries the risk of significant financial loss, especially if based on weak assumptions.

How does speculation affect financial markets?

Speculation can drive market prices up or down as traders bet on future events, potentially increasing volatility.

Can a conjecture ever become a fact?

A conjecture can become a fact if it is eventually supported by sufficient evidence and accepted by the consensus.

How is conjecture used in solving crimes?

Investigators may use conjecture based on evidence at hand to formulate theories about a crime.

Can speculation lead to economic crises?

Yes, excessive and risky speculation can lead to bubbles and subsequent economic crises.

How does one validate a conjecture?

A conjecture is validated through accumulating evidence and achieving consensus in the relevant field.

Why is conjecture important in research?

Conjecture stimulates investigation and questioning, leading to new discoveries and insights.

How do people use speculation in everyday life?

People often speculate about outcomes of events like elections, weather, or personal decisions.

Does speculation have a positive or negative impact on science?

Speculation can be positive by fostering innovative theories, though it needs empirical testing to be scientifically valid.

What is an example of a famous conjecture in mathematics?

The Riemann Hypothesis, proposing a pattern for the distribution of prime numbers, is a famous conjecture.

Is speculation always related to finance?

No, speculation can also occur in contexts like science and philosophy, where it involves theorizing beyond current evidence.

Is it beneficial to speculate in business?

While risky, speculation can lead to high rewards and is a driving force behind many entrepreneurial ventures.

What can cause conjecture to be inaccurate?

Conjecture can be inaccurate due to reliance on incomplete or flawed information.

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Author Spotlight

Written by
Maham Liaqat
Tayyaba Rehman is a distinguished writer, currently serving as a primary contributor to askdifference.com. As a researcher in semantics and etymology, Tayyaba's passion for the complexity of languages and their distinctions has found a perfect home on the platform. Tayyaba delves into the intricacies of language, distinguishing between commonly confused words and phrases, thereby providing clarity for readers worldwide.

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